On October 3rd, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy set the date for Spain’s general elections for December 20th.  Meanwhile, the political climate has turned around and the last polls on Sunday, October 11th indicate that he could negotiate if not exactly win his reelection. On the other hand, the PP risks coming third.

The Spanish PP is nowhere near its 2011 peak of 44,6%. Nor are the Socialists (PSOE) for that matter, who in 2011 held a 28,9%. In 2011, the combined vote of the traditional pan-Eur...

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