Theresa May’s divided cabinet meets on Monday to negotiate a future vision for Brexit, with a number of Leave campaigners unwilling to budge on the terms of the deal concluded by Theresa May.
Brussels is expected to require legal guarantees that will consolidate the terms under which “sufficient progress” was confirmed last week, pacing the way for trade talks. “Sufficient progress” in the case of Ireland means regulatory alignment of the kind one expects from membership of the Single Market, a red line of the Brexiteers that the British government may not be able to pass as a whole.
Public opinion is shifting against Brexit. According to a BMG poll for The Independent, 51% of Britons believe the UK should Remain in the EU, against 41% that want to Leave; 7% are uncertain but, when pressed, they would probably vote Remain.
The apparent shift in opinion polls comes from those who did not go to the polls in June 2016. While in December 2017 nine in ten of those who did not vote say they would vote Remain, one year ago they were split in the middle.
The voter turnout was a resounding 72% and there is little question of questioning the legitimacy of the referendum on the grounds of participation.